Not a fact anymore

Menopausal hormone therapy prevents cardiovascular disease in generally healthy postmenopausal women.

What we know now

Systemic menopausal hormone therapy should not be started solely to prevent cardiovascular disease. Benefits and risks differ by age, time since menopause, formulation, route, dose, and whether a uterus is present.

Why it changed

Observational studies suggested substantially lower coronary risk among users, but users differed from nonusers in health and socioeconomic factors. Randomized trials, especially the Women's Health Initiative, found no overall coronary prevention and identified important risks.

Status
Narrowed
Category
Medicine
Accepted for
≈17 years
Accepted approximately
1980s–2002
Changed approximately
1998–2002

By the 1980s and 1990s, observational studies seemed to show that postmenopausal women using estrogen had substantially lower rates of coronary heart disease. The finding fit biological expectations about estrogen’s effects on cholesterol and blood vessels, and hormone therapy was increasingly discussed not only for symptoms but as long-term disease prevention.

The observational evidence had a hidden problem: women who chose or were prescribed hormone therapy differed from nonusers in many ways, including health behaviors, access to care and socioeconomic status. Those differences could make treatment look protective even when the drug itself was not causing the advantage.

Randomized trials tested the idea more directly. The Women’s Health Initiative, using specific oral hormone regimens in a broad population of postmenopausal women, found no overall coronary prevention benefit and identified important risks, including thromboembolic events and, for some regimens, stroke and breast cancer.

That result changed routine preventive prescribing, but it should not be flattened into “hormones are always harmful.” Risk and benefit vary with age, time since menopause, formulation, route, dose and whether progestogen is needed.

Menopausal hormone therapy remains an important treatment for appropriate symptoms in selected patients. The corrected claim is narrower: it should not be started simply as a general strategy to prevent cardiovascular disease.

Evidence

Sources and what they establish

Primary research

Historical context

  • Women's Health InitiativeNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute

    Explains that the trial found hormone therapy did not prevent heart disease as previously thought.

Current evidence

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