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Pulmonary medicine and clinical standards

Race-based pulmonary-function reference values

1 episode25 evidence links10 sources

01

What institutions accepted

Professional pulmonary-function standards treated race or ethnicity as an input for choosing expected values. They preferred group-specific reference equations and, when those were unavailable, allowed numerical factors that lowered reference values derived from White populations for some patients classified as Black or Asian.

02

What the evidence supports now

Race and ethnicity are social classifications, not direct measurements of an individual's lung physiology. Current ATS guidance, endorsed by the ERS, recommends the race-neutral GLI Global average equation for spirometry and rejects race adjustment factors for lung volumes and diffusing capacity. These statistical references remain imperfect: they do not define ideal health or diagnose disease by themselves, and results near thresholds require clinical context, prior tests and other evidence.

03

Evidence for the overall belief

7 evidence links
Open sources, locators and notes
  1. DocumentsHistorical belief
    Interpretative strategies for lung function testsEuropean Respiratory Journal / ATS–ERS Task Force

    Where in the source: Reference Equations — General issues, p. 949

    The joint standard directs patients to identify their race or ethnic group, prefers group-specific reference equations and permits published adjustment factors when suitable equations are unavailable.

  2. DocumentsHistorical belief
    Multi-ethnic reference values for spirometry for the 3–95-yr age range: the global lung function 2012 equationsEuropean Respiratory Journal / ERS Global Lung Function Initiative

    Where in the source: Abstract; Conclusions; Recommendations

    The ERS task force derived separate Caucasian, African-American, North East Asian and South East Asian equations and an averaged “Other” equation, then recommended widespread implementation of the reference system.

  3. DocumentsPresent correction
    Race and Ethnicity in Pulmonary Function Test Interpretation — An Official American Thoracic Society StatementAmerican Thoracic Society / American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine

    Where in the source: Overview; Key Conclusions and Recommendations

    The official ATS statement describes race as a social construct, recommends race-neutral average reference equations and says results near the lower limit require history, testing, imaging and other clinical evidence.

  4. SupportsPresent correction
    A Race-neutral Approach to the Interpretation of Lung Function MeasurementsAmerican Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine / PubMed

    Where in the source: Abstract; Discussion

    Derives GLI Global from the original data without requiring race or ethnicity at application, reports wider limits of normal and cautions that any reference equation must be used with symptoms and medical history.

  5. DocumentsImpact
    Global, Race-Neutral Reference Equations and Pulmonary Function Test InterpretationJAMA Network Open / PubMed

    Where in the source: Abstract, Results and Conclusions

    Reinterprets 8,431 tests from one academic center and quantifies opposite changes in restrictive-pattern prevalence and severity among Black and White patients; it does not measure diagnoses, treatment changes or outcomes after implementation.

  6. SupportsImpact
    Implications of Race Adjustment in Lung-Function EquationsNew England Journal of Medicine / PubMed Central

    Where in the source: Abstract; Results; Discussion; Limitations

    Projects U.S. clinical, occupational and financial reclassification from multiple cohorts, including 12.5 million ventilatory-impairment classifications, while distinguishing modeled threshold effects from observed patient outcomes.

  7. DocumentsImpact
    Current Practices and Preferences Regarding Race and Spirometry Interpretation: A National SurveyCHEST Pulmonary / PubMed Central

    Where in the source: Abstract; Current Practices; Discussion and Limitations

    Of 66 respondents, 54% reported a race-neutral equation in their laboratory; the 29% response rate and predominantly academic sample sharply limit any inference about national adoption.

04

Impact

Reference equations do not alter the air a person exhales; they alter the predicted value, lower limit of normal and severity label against which that measurement is compared. The historical approach could therefore give otherwise identical measurements different interpretations according to racial or ethnic classification. Studies document large reclassification effects when equations change, but reclassification alone does not establish a new diagnosis or prove benefit or harm. Its consequences depend on how clinical, employment, disability, insurance and transplant systems use the resulting thresholds.

Context

The 2005 standard preferred race- or ethnicity-specific equations. Its fallback examples reduced White-derived expected TLC, FEV1 and FVC values by about 12% for Black subjects, reduced FRC and RV by about 7%, and used a factor of 0.94 for Asian Americans. A 2014 official ATS occupational standard continued to call correction factors appropriate when a suitable equation was unavailable but changed its Asian-American example to 0.88. These were population-level rules, not measurements of the individual characteristics thought to explain average differences.

In one academic-center study, applying GLI Global rather than GLI 2012 to 2,722 Black and 5,709 White patients changed the modeled prevalence of a restrictive pattern from 26.8% to 37.5% in the Black group and from 22.6% to 18.0% in the White group. Those are reinterpretations of recorded tests, not observed changes in lungs, confirmed diagnoses or patient outcomes.

A 2024 study projected U.S. changes across disease classification, occupational eligibility, impairment ratings and disability compensation. The race-based and race-neutral equations had similar discrimination for the studied respiratory outcomes while assigning different classifications to millions. The authors stressed that threshold changes can exchange sensitivity and specificity and that their national estimates model potential reclassification, not automatically beneficial or harmful outcomes.

Changing equations can create an apparent break in a patient's longitudinal results even when the measured volumes are unchanged. The 2023 statement therefore calls for explicit reporting and education, review of prior measurements and reassessment of policies that turn statistical reference values into hard clinical or administrative thresholds.

≈12%

2005 example reduction for predicted TLC, FEV1 and FVC in Black subjects

The joint standard presented this as an average adjustment when suitable group-specific equations were unavailable, not as an individual physiological measurement; it gave about 7% for FRC and RV.

12.5 million

U.S. residents projected to change ventilatory-impairment classification under GLI Global

A 2024 modeling study projected this among 249 million people aged 6–79 able to produce high-quality spirometry; it was not a count of observed diagnoses or injuries.

54%

of 66 surveyed pulmonologists reported a race-neutral equation in their PFT laboratory in 2026

The survey had a 29% response rate and 95% of respondents worked in academic settings, so it documents incomplete transition in this sample rather than national prevalence.

Historical totals and effects are presented as contextual evidence, not as universal causal claims.

Institutional episode 01

United States and Europe

Cross-regional

2005–2023Officially endorsed

ATS/ERS guidance operationalized race and ethnicity in pulmonary-function interpretation rather than merely describing population averages. Laboratories used a patient's category to select an equation or adjustment factor, and GLI 2012 gave this approach an all-age, multi-group reference system. By 2022 the joint technical standard rejected fixed factors and acknowledged uncertain genetic, social and environmental explanations, yet it did not fully abandon ancestry-linked comparison. The 2023 ATS statement, endorsed by the ERS, supplied the formal reversal and recommended GLI Global while warning that reference equations remain uncertain and that the many threshold-based uses of PFTs also need review.

Institutions involved

MedicalProfessional
  • American Thoracic Society (ATS)
  • European Respiratory Society (ERS)
  • Global Lung Function Initiative (GLI)

Institutional context

This episode begins with the joint 2005 ATS/ERS interpretation standard, not with the much older origins of racialized spirometry. The standard instructed patients to identify their race or ethnic group, preferred matching group-specific equations and allowed fixed adjustment factors as a fallback. GLI 2012 then supplied equations labeled Caucasian, African American, North East Asian and South East Asian, plus an averaged “Other” category, and urged widespread implementation in equipment. An official 2014 ATS occupational standard still endorsed group-specific equations or a fallback factor. The 2022 joint standard unequivocally rejected fixed race factors but remained transitional: it recommended GLI equations while saying either a similar ancestral grouping or the whole population might be the relevant comparator depending on context. The explicit recommendation to replace race- and ethnicity-specific interpretation with a race-neutral average equation came in the 2023 ATS statement endorsed by the ERS.

Why this persisted

Standard-setting

Professional standards told laboratories which reference populations or numerical factors to use; GLI encoded the categories in equations; and manufacturers and laboratory information systems turned the selected category into predicted values, limits of normal and severity classifications on reports.

How correction happened

Partially corrected

2023 onward

Action: The ATS issued an official statement, endorsed by the ERS, recommending GLI Global for race-neutral spirometry interpretation, rejecting race adjustment factors for other PFTs and calling for review of threshold-based decisions.

The professional recommendation was reversed, but correction is incomplete in practice and in the underlying evidence. The 2023 panel emphasized limited data for lung volumes and diffusing capacity, underrepresentation in GLI Global, uncertain effects near decision thresholds and the need to change policies outside PFT laboratories. In a small 2026 survey dominated by academic pulmonologists, 54% reported that their laboratory used a race-neutral equation.

Consequences

  • Identical measured volumes could receive different predicted values, lower limits of normal and severity scores according to racial or ethnic classification
  • Race-specific reference values could delay recognition of impairment or access to evaluation and therapy for people compared with a lower expected value
  • Equation-dependent thresholds affected clinical evaluation, surgery and transplant referral as well as employment, disability and insurance decisions
  • Switching equations reclassified results in both directions and could change true-positive and false-positive rates without changing the underlying measurement
  • Laboratories, device software and downstream policies required coordinated changes so longitudinal reports would not imply a physiological change caused only by a new equation

Evidence for this episode

18 evidence links
Open sources, locators and notes
  1. DocumentsInstitutional carrier
    Interpretative strategies for lung function testsEuropean Respiratory Journal / ATS–ERS Task Force

    Where in the source: Title page; Reference Equations — General issues, pp. 948–949

    Direct joint ATS/ERS task-force standard identifying the societies that issued the interpretive guidance.

  2. DocumentsInstitutional carrier
    Multi-ethnic reference values for spirometry for the 3–95-yr age range: the global lung function 2012 equationsEuropean Respiratory Journal / ERS Global Lung Function Initiative

    Where in the source: Title and author group; Recommendations

    Identifies the ERS Global Lung Function Initiative as the task force that assembled the multi-group equations and urged respiratory societies and device users to implement them.

  3. DocumentsInstitutional carrier
    Official American Thoracic Society Technical Standards: Spirometry in the Occupational SettingAmerican Thoracic Society / American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine

    Where in the source: Reference Values for Asian Americans; Recommendation

    An official ATS standard showing that race- or ethnicity-specific equations and fallback correction factors remained endorsed in occupational spirometry in 2014.

  4. DocumentsInstitutional carrier
    Race and Ethnicity in Pulmonary Function Test Interpretation — An Official American Thoracic Society StatementAmerican Thoracic Society / American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine

    Where in the source: Footnote on approval and endorsement

    Records ATS approval in February 2023 and ERS endorsement in March 2023, establishing the institutional status of the reversal.

  5. DocumentsMechanism
    Interpretative strategies for lung function testsEuropean Respiratory Journal / ATS–ERS Task Force

    Where in the source: Reference Equations — General issues, p. 949

    Specifies self-identification, selection of a group-specific equation and fallback adjustments of about 12%, 7% or 0.94 for named measurements and groups, with the selected factor recorded on the report.

  6. DocumentsMechanism
    Multi-ethnic reference values for spirometry for the 3–95-yr age range: the global lung function 2012 equationsEuropean Respiratory Journal / ERS Global Lung Function Initiative

    Where in the source: Results; Conclusions; Recommendations

    Encodes four named racial or geographic groups and an averaged “Other” category in continuous all-age reference equations intended for implementation in spirometry equipment.

  7. ContextualizesMechanism
    ERS/ATS technical standard on interpretive strategies for routine lung function testsEuropean Respiratory Journal / ERS–ATS Task Force

    Where in the source: Table 1; Comparison of measured values to a healthy population

    Unequivocally rejects fixed race factors but still says either a similar ancestral grouping or a whole-population comparison may be appropriate, documenting a transitional position before the 2023 recommendation.

  8. DocumentsMechanism
    Official American Thoracic Society Technical Standards: Spirometry in the Occupational SettingAmerican Thoracic Society / American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine

    Where in the source: Reference Values for Asian Americans; Recommendation

    Prefers population-specific equations but calls a factor an appropriate interim solution and recommends multiplying White FEV1 and FVC reference values by 0.88 for Asian populations in North America.

  9. SupportsConsequences
    Interpretative strategies for lung function testsEuropean Respiratory Journal / ATS–ERS Task Force

    Where in the source: Reference Equations — General issues, pp. 949–950

    Explains that reference choice affects classification against the lower limit of normal and warns that changing equations can alter interpretation, especially for results near an abnormality threshold.

  10. SupportsConsequences
    Race and Ethnicity in Pulmonary Function Test Interpretation — An Official American Thoracic Society StatementAmerican Thoracic Society / American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine

    Where in the source: Clinical Implications of Race-Specific Pulmonary Function Prediction Equations; Table 1

    Shows how reference choice can cross thresholds used for insurance, ventilatory support, transplant referral and surgery, while discussing potential harms from either retaining or changing the equations.

  11. SupportsConsequences
    Global, Race-Neutral Reference Equations and Pulmonary Function Test InterpretationJAMA Network Open / PubMed

    Where in the source: Abstract, Results and Conclusions

    Documents that changing equations alone altered physiological pattern and severity labels in opposite directions across the two studied groups and calls for further work on effects on diagnosis, referral and treatment.

  12. ContextualizesConsequences
    Implications of Race Adjustment in Lung-Function EquationsNew England Journal of Medicine / PubMed Central

    Where in the source: Abstract; Lung-Transplant Priority; Discussion; Limitations

    Finds similar discrimination for studied respiratory outcomes but major modeled differences in threshold-defined classifications, eligibility and payments; limitations include U.S.-only projections and applications a person might never face.

  13. ContextualizesContext
    ERS/ATS technical standard on interpretive strategies for routine lung function testsEuropean Respiratory Journal / ERS–ATS Task Force

    Where in the source: Table 1; Comparison of measured values to a healthy population

    Contrasts the 2005 preference for group-specific equations with the update's rejection of fixed factors, uncertainty about genetic, social and environmental causes, and continued caution over the appropriate comparison population.

  14. ContextualizesContext
    Race and Ethnicity in Pulmonary Function Test Interpretation — An Official American Thoracic Society StatementAmerican Thoracic Society / American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine

    Where in the source: History and Methodology of Race-Specific Reference Equations; Key Conclusions and Recommendations

    Distinguishes group-specific equations from fixed adjustments, explains GLI Global as a weighted race composite with wider uncertainty and notes that many world populations remain absent from the source data.

  15. SupportsContext
    A Race-neutral Approach to the Interpretation of Lung Function MeasurementsAmerican Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine / PubMed

    Where in the source: Abstract; Discussion

    Documents the available race-neutral comparator adopted in 2023: a weighted reanalysis of the GLI 2012 data that omits race at application but has wider normal limits and does not represent every population or ideal individual health.

  16. DocumentsInstitutional correction
    Race and Ethnicity in Pulmonary Function Test Interpretation — An Official American Thoracic Society StatementAmerican Thoracic Society / American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine

    Where in the source: Overview; Key Conclusions and Recommendations; Conclusions

    Recommends race-neutral average equations, identifies GLI Global for spirometry, rejects adjustment factors for lung volumes and diffusing capacity and calls for broader review of PFT-based decisions.

  17. DocumentsInstitutional correction
    ATS Publishes Official Statement on Race, Ethnicity and Pulmonary Function Test InterpretationAmerican Thoracic Society

    Where in the source: Page body, paragraphs on the new recommendation and continued research

    The ATS public announcement presents the move to GLI Global as an institutional change, confirms ERS endorsement and emphasizes continuing research and reassessment of threshold-based decisions.

  18. DocumentsInstitutional correction
    Current Practices and Preferences Regarding Race and Spirometry Interpretation: A National SurveyCHEST Pulmonary / PubMed Central

    Where in the source: Abstract; Current Practices; Discussion and Limitations

    Supports a partial rather than complete correction rating: just over half of this small, mostly academic respondent sample reported laboratory use of a race-neutral equation three years after the recommendation.

Source registryEach source is registered once and can carry several precise evidence relationships.10 sources
  1. 01
    Interpretative strategies for lung function testsEuropean Respiratory Journal / ATS–ERS Task Force
    4 evidence links
  2. 022 evidence links
  3. 03
    Race and Ethnicity in Pulmonary Function Test Interpretation — An Official American Thoracic Society StatementAmerican Thoracic Society / American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine
    5 evidence links
  4. 041 evidence link
  5. 053 evidence links
  6. 06
    Official American Thoracic Society Technical Standards: Spirometry in the Occupational SettingAmerican Thoracic Society / American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine
    2 evidence links
  7. 07
    A Race-neutral Approach to the Interpretation of Lung Function MeasurementsAmerican Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine / PubMed
    2 evidence links
  8. 082 evidence links
  9. 09
    Implications of Race Adjustment in Lung-Function EquationsNew England Journal of Medicine / PubMed Central
    2 evidence links
  10. 102 evidence links